Countries around the world are phasing out gas vehicles in favor of EVs
Statista
Nearly 25 percent of countries have announced plans for phasing out gas-powered vehicles. This international shift towards EVs is advantageous for Tesla, which continues to lead the electric car revolution. As countries enforce stricter emission standards and incentivize the adoption of EVs, Elon Musk and the Tesla team, who almost went broke 15 years ago, will continue to be in demand, setting the bar for a future of sustainable transportation.
United States Phase Out
The U.S., with California setting the ambitious goal of phasing out sales of new combustion engine vehicles by 2035. Several states, including Washington, Oregon, Connecticut, Massachusetts, New York, Vermont, and Delaware, align their vehicle standards with California, solidifying the nation's commitment to cleaner air and reduced greenhouse gas emissions.
Global Commitment
Not to be left behind, Canada is also championing the transition to EVs. However, the nation favours hybrids in its phase-out strategy, aiming for 2035.
Crossing the Atlantic, the European Union approved a law to ban combustion engine car sales in all member states by 2035. Despite some initial resistance from Germany and Italy, all 27 member states eventually backed the proposal, marking a significant step in reducing CO2 emissions across Europe. Countries like the Netherlands, Belgium's Flanders region, Sweden, Greece, and Slovenia are even more ambitious, targeting the end of gas-powered car sales between 2029 and 2030.
Countries around the world are phasing out gas vehicles in favor of EVs
Tesla
Norway is an electric mobility pioneer, with approximately 80 percent of new cars sold being fully electric. The country aims for 100 percent of new cars to be electric by 2025, showcasing a commitment that outshines many others.
Countries like China, Japan, and Singapore have proposed bans or are implementing 100% sales of zero-emission vehicles in Asia. Despite being one of the largest car markets, China, alongside Hong Kong and Macau, is steadfast in its commitment to phase out gas-powered vehicles, setting an example for the region.
Sri Lanka and Cape Verde are setting challenging goals. Sri Lanka aims for a full road ban for combustion engine cars, tuk-tuks, and motorcycles by 2040. Despite being a smaller country, Cape Verde internally set the goal to ban the sale of new combustion engine cars by 2035.
International Agreements
The global commitment to a cleaner, sustainable future was highlighted at the 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference in Glasgow, where multiple governments and companies signed the Glasgow Declaration, aiming for 100% zero-emission cars and vans by 2035 in leading markets and by 2040 globally.
In the wake of these global transitions, Tesla stands to gain substantially. The company's innovative technology, expanding production capabilities, and growing global presence position it perfectly to meet the rising demand for EVs. Tesla's diverse range of electric vehicles, from luxury to more affordable models, caters to a broad spectrum of consumers, ensuring its continued market dominance.
Infrastructure Advancement
The phase-out of gas-powered vehicles necessitates advancements in EV infrastructure. Tesla's ongoing investments in supercharging stations and battery technology place the company at the forefront of addressing the infrastructural challenges of widespread EV adoption. It recently turned on its 50,000 supercharger and opened the stations to allow non-Tesla to charge. Plus, the company opened up the patent for the North American Charging Standard, allowing other companies to use its advanced technology to further the ability to power up EVs.
The global shift towards electric vehicles is not just a trend but a commitment to a sustainable future. With countries worldwide, from the U.S. and Canada to Norway and Sri Lanka, phasing out gas-powered cars, Tesla's innovative approach and market readiness position it as a critical player in this electric revolution.
Here is a detailed breakdown of the commitments countries have made to a sustainable transportation future:
United States has an Executive Order mandating all new light-duty vehicles added to the government fleet to be 100% zero emissions by 2027, with the entire fleet of government-owned vehicles with ICE engines to be phased out and replaced with all-electric cars by 2035-2040.
The United Kingdom has a government plan to stop new non-electric and hybrid car sales by 2035 and new CO2-emitting lorry and bus sales by 2040.
Canada aims to phase out new light-duty vehicle sales of diesel, petrol, and non-electric cars by 2035 and aims for all light-duty vehicles to be electric by 2050.
Belgium plans to end tax deductions for diesel and petrol employee company cars by 2026 and stop new car and van sales in the Flanders region that run on these fuels by 2029.
Chile and the People's Republic of China are targeting 2035 to cease new vehicle sales of diesel and petrol cars.
Costa Rica has proposed to stop new light vehicle sales of diesel and petrol cars by 2050.
Denmark intends to halt new diesel and petrol vehicle sales by 2030, allowing hybrid vehicles until 2035.
Egypt has a government plan to cease new car sales of diesel, petrol, and non-electric vehicles by 2040.
According to a Bundesrat decision, Germany aims to stop new car sales of emitting vehicles by 2030.
Greece plans to halt new vehicle sales of emitting and non-electric cars by 2030.
Hong Kong (PRC) and Macau (PRC) aim to stop new private vehicle sales and registration of diesel and petrol cars by 2035.
Iceland is targeting 2030 to end the sale of new cars and vehicles that run exclusively on diesel or petrol, with some regional exceptions.
As a signatory of the Glasgow Declaration, India plans to halt new vehicle sales of petrol and diesel cars by 2040.
Indonesia has proposed to cease all motorcycle sales by 2040 and all car sales of diesel and petrol vehicles by 2050.
Israel aims to stop new car sales and imports of emitting, non-electric vehicles by 2030, although the citation is needed for confirmation.
Italy intends to stop new private vehicle sales by 2035 and recent commercial vehicle sales of emitting vehicles by 2040.
Japan plans to cease sales of new diesel- and petrol-only cars by 2035, with diesel and petrol-hybrid cars continuing to be sold indefinitely.
The Republic of Korea aims to halt new vehicle sales of petrol and diesel cars by 2035.
Malaysia plans to stop new vehicle sales emitting vehicles by 2050 as part of the Malaysia Net-Zero Emission by 2050 initiative.
The Netherlands is targeting 2030 to cease new passenger car sales of diesel and petrol vehicles, with commercial vehicles continuing to use these fuels until 2040.
Norway plans to stop all new passenger car sales of diesel and petrol vehicles by 2025, with commercial vehicles following suit by 2035.
Portugal has a government climate plan to stop new car sales of diesel and petrol vehicles by 2035.
Singapore has a phased plan starting in 2023, targeting zero tailpipe emission public sector vehicles by 2023, ceasing sales and registration of diesel-only cars and taxis by 2025, and implementing a complete phase-out of internal combustion engines by 2040.
Slovenia aims for new car registrations to have emissions below 50 g/km by 2031, allowing diesel and petrol if they meet this criterion.
Sweden has a coalition agreement to stop new car sales of diesel and petrol vehicles by 2030.
Taiwan plans a phased approach, stopping all bus and government-owned car use of diesel and petrol by 2030, all motorcycle sales by 2035, and all car sales by 2040.
Thailand has proposals to stop new car sales and registrations of diesel and petrol vehicles by 2035, although these are not yet effective.
Armenia, Austria, Azerbaijan, Cambodia, Cape Verde, Croatia, Cyprus, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Finland, Ghana, The Holy See, Ireland, Kenya, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Mexico, Morocco, New Zealand, Paraguay, Poland, Rwanda, Spain, Turkey, Ukraine, and Uruguay have all signed the Glasgow Declaration, committing to stop the sales of new emitting vehicles by 2040.
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The Super Manifold is Tesla’s solution to reducing the complexity of a heat pump system for an EV. Tesla showed off its engineering chops back with the original Model Y in 2019, where it introduced a new 8-way valve (the Octovalve) and a new heat pump alongside the uniquely designed Super Manifold to improve efficiency.
Now, Tesla is launching an improved version with the refreshed Model Y - the Super Manifold V2. We got to hear about it thanks to Sandy Munro’s interview with Tesla’s Lars Moravy (Vice President of Vehicle Engineering) and Franz Von Holzhausen (Chief of Vehicle Design). You can watch the video further below.
What Is The Super Manifold?
The Super Manifold (get it, Superman?), is an all-in-one package that brings in all the components of a heat pump system into one component. The Super Manifold packs all the refrigerant and coolant components around a 2-layer PCB (printed circuit board).
This Super Manifold would normally have 15 or 20 separate components, but Tesla managed to integrate them all into one nice package. That presented Tesla with a new challenge: how to integrate a heat pump—capable of both heating and cooling—into a single, efficient platform?
Several years ago, Tesla designed the Octovalve. It combines inlets and outlets and can variably change between heating or cooling on the fly - without needing to be plumbed in different directions. This is especially important for EVs, which may need to heat the battery with the waste heat generated from the motors or the heat pump while also cooling the cabin - or vice versa.
Original Super Manifold V1.1
Tesla launched the Super Manifold V1.1 back in 2022, and it provided some minor improvements to the waste heat processing of the heat exchange system. It also tightened up the Octovalve, preventing the leakage of oils into the HVAC loop that could cause it to freeze at extremely low temperatures.
Tesla has been using the V1.1 for several years now, and it has really solved the vast majority of issues with the heat pump system that many older Model Ys experienced.
Super Manifold V2 Coming Soon
Now, Tesla is introducing the Super Manifold V2 in the new Model Y. It will improve the overall cooling capacity provided by the original Super Manifold, but unfortunately, not every single new Model Y will come with it equipped. Tesla will be introducing it slowly across the lineup and at different rates at different factories, depending on part availability.
Eventually, the Super Manifold V2 will also make its way to other vehicles, potentially including the upcoming refresh for the Model S and Model X, but initially, it’ll be exclusive to the new Model Y. Tesla expects to have the new manifold in every new Model Y later this year.
If you’re interested in checking out the whole video, we’ve got it for you below.
Mark Rober, of glitter bomb package fame, recently released a video titled Can You Fool A Self-Driving Car? (posted below). Of course, the vehicle featured in the video was none other than a Tesla - but there’s a lot wrong with this video that we’d like to discuss.
We did some digging and let the last couple of days play out before making our case. Mark Rober’s Wile E. Coyote video is fatally flawed.
The Premise
Mark Rober wanted to prove whether or not it was possible to fool a self-driving vehicle, using various test scenarios. These included a wall painted to look like a road, low-lying fog, mannequins, hurricane-force rain, and bright beams.
All of these individual “tests” had their own issues - not least because Mark didn’t adhere to any sort of testing methodology, but because he was looking for a result - and edited his tests until he was sure of it.
Interestingly, many folks on X were quick to spot that Mark had been previously sponsored by Google to use a Pixel phone - but was using an iPhone to record within the vehicle - which he had edited to look like a Pixel phone for some reason. This, alongside other poor edits and cuts, led many, including us, to believe that Mark’s testing was edited and flawed.
Flaw 1: Autopilot, Not FSD
Let’s take a look at the first flaw. Mark tested Autopilot - not FSD. Autopilot is a driving aid for lane centering and speed control - and is not the least bit autonomous. It cannot take evasive maneuvers outside the lane it is in, but it can use the full stable of Tesla’s extensive features, including Automatic Emergency Braking, Forward Collision Warnings, Blind Spot Collision Warnings, and Lane Departure Avoidance.
On the other hand, FSD is allowed and capable of departing the lane to avoid a collision. That means that even if Autopilot tried to stop and was unable to, it would still impact whatever obstacle was in front of it - unlike FSD.
As we continue with the FSD argument - remember that Autopilot is running on a 5-year-old software stack that hasn’t seen updates. Sadly, this is the reality of Tesla not updating the Autopilot stack for quite some time. It seems likely that they’ll eventually bring a trimmed-down version of FSD to replace Autopilot, but that hasn’t happened yet.
Mark later admitted that he used Autopilot rather than FSD because “You cannot engage FSD without putting in a destination,” which is also incorrect. It is possible to engage FSD without a destination, but FSD chooses its own route. Where it goes isn’t within your control until you select a destination, but it tends to navigate through roads in a generally forward direction.
The whole situation, from not having FSD on the vehicle to not knowing you can activate FSD without a destination, suggests Mark is rather unfamiliar with FSD and likely has limited exposure to the feature.
Let’s keep in mind that FSD costs $99 for a single month, so there’s no excuse for him not using it in this video.
Flaw 2: Cancelling AP and Pushing Pedals
Many people on X also followed up with reports that Mark was pushing the pedals or pulling on the steering wheel. When you tap on the brake pedal or pull or jerk the steering wheel too much, Autopilot will disengage. For some reason, during each of his “tests,” Mark closely held the steering wheel of the vehicle.
This comes off as rather odd - at the extremely short distances he was enabling AP at, there wouldn’t be enough time for a wheel nag or takeover warning required. In addition, we can visibly see him pulling the steering wheel before “impact” in multiple tests.
Over on X, techAU breaks it down excellently on a per-test basis. Mark did not engage AP in several tests, and he potentially used the accelerator pedal during the first test - which means that Automatic Emergency Braking is overridden. In another test, Mark admitted to using the pedals.
Flaw 3: Luminar Sponsored
This video was potentially sponsored by a LiDAR manufacturer - Luminar. Although Mark says that this isn’t the case. Interestingly, Luminar makes LiDAR rigs for Tesla - who uses them to test ground truth accuracy for FSD. Just as interesting, Luminar’s Earnings Call was also coming up at the time of the video’s posting.
Luminar had linked the video at the top of their homepage but has since taken it down. While Mark did not admit to being sponsored by Luminar, there appear to be more distinct conflicts of interest, as Mark’s charity foundation has received donations from Luminar’s CEO.
Given the positivity of the results for Luminar, it seems that the video had been well-designed and well-timed to take advantage of the current wave of negativity against Tesla, while also driving up Luminar’s stock.
Flaw 4: Vision-based Depth Estimation
The next flaw to address is the fact that humans and machines can judge depth using vision. On X, user Abdou ran the “invisible wall” through a monocular depth estimation model (DepthAnythingV2) - one that uses a single image with a single angle. This fairly simplified model can estimate the distance and depth of items inside an image - and it was able to differentiate the fake wall from its surroundings easily.
Tesla’s FSD uses a far more advanced multi-angle, multi-image tool that stitches together and creates a 3D model of the environment around it and then analyzes the result for decision-making and prediction. Tesla’s more refined and complex model would be far more able to easily detect such an obstacle - and these innovations are far more recent than the 5-year-old Autopilot stack.
While detecting distances is more difficult in a single image, once you have multiple images, such as in a video feed, you can more easily decipher between objects and determine distances by tracking the size of each pixel as the object approaches. Essentially, if all pixels are growing at a constant rate, then that means it’s a flat object — like a wall.
Case in Point: Chinese FSD Testers
To make the case stronger - some Chinese FSD testers took to the streets and put up a semi-transparent sheet - which the vehicle refused to drive through or drive near. It would immediately attempt to maneuver away each time the test was engaged - and refused to advance with a pedestrian standing in the road.
Would FSD hit a transparent film wall? This test showed it just avoids it.
Thanks to Douyin and Aaron Li for putting this together, as it makes an excellent basic example of how FSD would handle such a situation in real life.
Flaw 5: The Follow-Up Video and Interview
Following the community backlash, Mark released a video on X, hoping to resolve the community’s concerns. However, this also backfired. It turned out Mark’s second video was of an entirely different take than the one in the original video - this was at a different speed, angle, and time of initiation.
Mark then followed up with an interview with Philip DeFranco (below), where he said that there were multiple takes and that he used Autopilot because he didn’t know that FSD could be engaged without a destination. He also answered here that Luminar supposedly did not pay him for the video - even with their big showing as the “leader in LiDAR technology” throughout the video.
Putting It All Together
Overall, Mark’s video was rather duplicitous - he recorded multiple takes to get what he needed, prevented Tesla’s software from functioning properly by intervening, and used an outdated feature set that isn’t FSD - like his video is titled.
Upcoming Videos
Several other video creators are already working to replicate what Mark “tried” to test in this video.
To get a complete picture, we need to see unedited takes, even if they’re included at the end of the video. The full vehicle specifications should also be disclosed. Additionally, the test should be conducted using Tesla’s latest hardware and software—specifically, an HW4 vehicle running FSD v13.2.8.
In Mark’s video, Autopilot was engaged just seconds before impact. However, for a proper evaluation, FSD should be activated much earlier, allowing it time to react and, if capable, stop before hitting the wall.
A wave of new videos is likely on the way—stay tuned, and we’ll be sure to cover the best ones.
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