New car models used in FSD Beta 10.12 visualization
mariapazz000/Twitter
The first signs of Tesla's FSD Beta 10.12 finally surfaced
yesterday as Tesla employees started receiving the internal beta.
The internal beta initially had a version of 2022.12.3.10, but
it looks like Tesla has aleady issued an update with version 2022.12.3.15 (FSD Beta 10.12.1).
It's not clear yet whether this will be the exact version that
will be rolled out to public testers or if additional updates will be made.
If Tesla finds any major issues, they'll want to fix them before
rolling out the update to external testers.
New Car Models
New car models
WholeMarsBlog/Twitter
FSD Beta 10.12 introduces new vehicle models for almost every
vehicle type.
Some of the vehicles have been completely redesigned and are
more detailed and realistic looking than the previous models.
For example, a sedan now has wheels, windows and a glass roof,
instead of the previous simplistic look that resembled a Model S keyfob.
New Brake Lights
Although brakes lights were already displayed as of beta 9.0, Tesla is now displaying the third brake light as well, which
has been required in the US since 1986.
Open Doors
FSD Beta 10.12 will now display open doors
WholeMarsBlog/Twitter
FSD Betas have been able to detect and stop or go around
vehicles with open doors for a while now, but Tesla will now show open doors in the
visualization.
When a surrounding vehicle's door is open, the 3D model will
also show the open door and highlight the door in orange.
With this release, FSD Beta now detects and visualizes turn
signals in addition to brake lights.
The car will reportedly react to turn signals it has detected as
well, which should help understand the intentions of other vehicles.
Two Steps Forward, One Step Back
The last major FSD Beta release was version 10.11, which was
first seen more than two months ago.
Tesla has been working on beta 10.12 for a while now and the
amount of changes included in this update are huge according to Elon.
Musk said that due to the amount of changes in this beta, we can
expect two steps forward and one step back.
This is a big one! Expect some two steps forward, one step back
situations. These will be great ironed in point releases, hence ~10.12.2 or 10.13 for wider beta release.
- Elon Musk
There will be some issues, and in certain situations FSD may
have regressed.
Tesla plans to fix any issues that arise with minor revisions to
this release. Expect to see additional FSD Beta 10.12 releases such as 10.12.1 and 10.12.2 in the coming
weeks.
Current Beta Testers
As we have seen with other recent betas, it may be a while until
all current beta testers receive this latest beta.
With beta 10.11, we saw two revisions before the majority of
testers received the beta. We may see a similar situation with this update, given the amount of changes
that were made.
If you're a current beta tester, you may be waiting a couple
weeks before getting this updated FSD Beta.
Additional Testers
There haven't been any signs of Tesla adding additional beta
testers in the US since late 2021.
Elon has previously said that he hopes that Tesla will be able
to add more testers who have opted in to the beta and have a Safety Score of 95 or greater in later revisions of beta 10.12.
We have the technical releases notes for FSD Beta 10.12, but
Reddit user asimo3089 did a great job at interpreting the release notes to give us a better
understanding of what Tesla has improved in this update.
1. Your car better understands what is and is not drivable space.
This makes it more confident in easy situations, and more capable in tricky situations. Your car can
also now use medians for difficult left turns, and accelerates quicker to complete turns.
2. Your car now has a better idea of objects blocking camera views.
Creeping should be less scary.
3. Improved path predictions of where other others on the road will
be. This gives your car better decision making for turns.
4. Sounds like: Your car will drive itself to safety much more
smoothly if your car finds itself in a place it shouldn't be. Better problem solving?
5. Your car should better see the lanes on the road, and how many
of them there are, thanks to new data. This gives better turn confidence and path planning during a turn.
6. Your car is now trained on 180,000 new clips related to what
lanes look like.
7. Your car is less likely to panic brake in a yellow light
scenario, and has a better understanding of lane guidance when going through an intersection.
8. Road edges and road lines are now more accurate.
9. Your car now better understands visibility from the cameras,
thanks to 30,000 new video clips of training data.
10. Speeds of motorcycles, pedestrians and cyclists is now more
accurate. Plus, your car now better predicts which direction a pedestrian is walking.
11. Your car is now less likely to confuse a parked car and an
idling car thanks to 41,000 new clips of training data. This should result in fewer "phantom brakes" or
silly lane changes.
12. Your car now better understands objects that are far away from
you.
13. Your car will plan a better path around vehicles with car doors
open.
14. Objects that are not pedestrians, cyclists, etc, should have
more accurate speed predictions.
15. When changing into an adjacent lane, your car will look further
ahead at vehicle speeds. If somebody up ahead is braking, your car will handle it more
comfortably.
16. Your car used to only predict acceleration (Not speed) for
objects moving adjacently. Now your car will predict acceleration of all moving objects including
objects accelerating across your path.
17. New 3D models for vehicles on your screen. You'll also be shown
vehicles with their doors open.
18. Tesla retired a few old systems and gained 2 frames per second,
per camera, resulting in better performance while self driving.
FSD Beta 10.12 is currently only available to employees, but we
may see a wider release in the next couple days that includes public testers.
However, it could be several weeks before all current testers
receive this update.
More details will surely be uncovered about this beta in the
next few days. Stay tuned for more.
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Elon Musk and SpaceX have set some ambitious dates for the first Mars landing. Musk envisions launching the Starship toward Mars by late 2026—less than two years away. There won’t be any humans on board in the initial launches. Instead, Optimus will fill in for humans. Musk stated that human landings could follow as early as 2029 to 2031.
There are certain windows that make flights to Mars feasible for humans. So SpaceX is aiming for humans to be a part of the second or third Earth/Mars launch windows from now, which are 5 to 7 years away.
Tesla continues advancing Optimus, and SpaceX remains relentless. Another Starship test launch is in the books, all while maintaining their steady weekly cadence of Dragon missions to space.
Starship departs for Mars at the end of next year, carrying Optimus.
Civilization On Earth
Musk goes on to state something interesting in another post on X. He says that the key will be whether “Earth’s civilizational technology level will last long enough to ensure Mars can grow by itself, even if supply ships from Earth stop coming.”
The statement suggests two possibilities—that Earth’s civilization collapses or fails to advance enough to solve unforeseen challenges of sustaining life on Mars.
The key concern is whether humanity will remain technologically and industrially capable long enough to ensure that Mars can eventually become self-sufficient. If Earth’s civilization weakens, either due to collapse, stagnation, or regression, Mars might not get the support it needs to reach full independence—leading to the colony’s failure.
Tossing Optimus on board Starship is a smart move, instead of having smaller, single-task robots. Optimus also has the advantage of being upgradeable on Mars as long as the hardware holds up. It could be a lot like what we saw with Tesla vehicles, where the hardware was present for many years before the vehicle was capable of driving on city streets. Optimus’ capabilities will also improve over time, even if the hardware is older.
But, how does Elon Musk envision Optimus’ role on Mars?
The answer might be simple. SpaceX can leverage a fleet of Optimus robots to assemble shelters and infrastructure before humans even arrive.
Optimus is already highly capable, with precise hands adept at manipulating tools and objects. On Mars, it could construct basic habitats, set up survival systems, and even handle ice processing, water recycling, and food production.
These facilities will be absolutely essential for the first humans to comfortably settle in and begin work on expanding, maintaining, and preparing for proper human settlement.
Beyond construction, Optimus has a major advantage—it doesn’t need oxygen. Instead, mission planners would only need to monitor battery levels, wear and tear, and any potential damage.
That said, even humanoid robots face risks. Martian dust has long been an obstacle in space exploration, clogging solar panels, damaging equipment, and causing malfunctions. Tesla will need to redesign Optimus to withstand the harsh conditions. Its joints and components will need to be sealed against Mars’ relentless environment.
Starship
Mechazilla catching Starship7 Rocket Booster for the first time ever! 🚀 Incredible Achievement by @spacex
Starship, the largest rocket ever built, is immensely capable—but still in its early testing phases. SpaceX has dedicated hundreds of hours between each flight test, refining and improving with every launch. With several Super Heavy booster catches now under their belt, the next challenge is proving Starship itself can land.
Once SpaceX can launch, complete a mission, and safely land both the booster and Starship, the dream of reaching Mars may no longer seem so far-fetched.
With that, Happy 23rd Anniversary, SpaceX! We’re with you all the way as you push humanity toward the stars.
Happy 23rd Anniversary to @SpaceX! Founded on March 14, 2002, and still pushing the limits of what’s possible, here’s to the next chapter of making life multi-planetary! pic.twitter.com/mzvrdEagAn
According to Chinese blog posts from earlier last week, now vetted by Reuters, Tesla intends to produce a cut-down version of the Model Y, initially for the Chinese market, sometime in 2026.
This follows the launch of Tesla’s cut-down Model 3 for Mexico, as well as news that Tesla intends to launch their new next-gen model sometime in the near future.
Cut Down, But How?
The new Model Y, internally referred to as Project E41, is designed to lower the entry price of Tesla’s popular SUV—one of the most compelling options on the market due to its size, range, and versatility, especially following the launch of the refreshed Model Y.
To achieve this, Tesla is reportedly aiming to reduce the Model Y’s total cost by nearly 20%, according to reports from China. While exact changes remain unknown, we can make informed guesses based on the cost-saving measures Tesla implemented in the scaled-down Model 3 for Mexico.
Textile Seats and Trim
One of the most noticeable changes in the cost-cut version of the Model 3 in Mexico was the removal of vegan leather throughout the interior. In its place, Tesla opted for a durable textile fabric for the seats, reducing material costs. Additionally, any Alcantara trim pieces were replaced with the same textile in various areas.
No Heated or Cooled Seats
Another major cost-cutting measure was the removal of heated and cooled seats, along with the heated steering wheel. While these feature reductions may seem minor, eliminating them reduces various things, such as electrical components, harnesses, and ductwork that are required for seat ventilation.
No Rear Screen
One of the more unexpected changes in the reduced-cost Model 3 was the removal of the rear screen, despite it being powered by the same front infotainment computer as the front display. Given that the screen functions primarily as an additional display rather than a standalone system, the cost to include it is extremely low. It’s one of those really smart additions Tesla has added that increases value for the consumer with minimal cost to Tesla.
Tesla is unlikely to redesign or modify the vehicle’s wiring harness for this change, meaning a rear screen could potentially be retrofitted later by the customer. Based on replacement part estimates, the screen likely costs Tesla between $5 and $20 per vehicle, which acts as a secondary monitor for the infotainment computer.
Ambient Lighting, Acoustic Glass, Speakers
The final set of changes also focuses on the interior. Tesla replaced the RGB-capable ambient lighting with a simpler white-only version—likely saving only a few dollars per vehicle. While this may seem like a minor and somewhat unexpected cut, it could serve as an upsell opportunity to the standard RWD variant.
Additionally, Tesla reduced the use of dual-pane acoustic glass, now limiting it to just the front windows and windshield. This change drastically cuts costs but also affects cabin noise levels. The dual-pane glass played a key role in making the refreshed Model Y noticeably quieter, so this downgrade will likely bring noise insulation closer to that of the original Model Y.
As for audio, Tesla scaled down the speaker system in the Mexican Model 3 from 17 speakers to just nine, while also removing the subwoofers and one of the audio amplifiers. While this cuts costs due to wiring and speakers, it also has a large impact on the audio quality in the vehicle.
Project E41 is Not the Next-Gen Model
It’s important to note that Project E41 is not the same as the upcoming, more affordable next-gen platform, which is internally referred to as Project Redwood. While Project E41 focuses on a reduced-cost version of the Model Y, Project Redwood is designed to test Tesla’s manufacturing capabilities, using their innovative unboxed assembly method to reduce both costs and production time. The goal is to create a vehicle that is smaller and more affordable, while also keeping it safe and capable of self-driving.
Tesla previously confirmed that they plan to unveil new models—distinct from cut-down versions of the Model 3 or Model Y—during their Q4 2024 Earnings Call. However, the executive team has been careful not to divulge too many details about the upcoming model during interviews. This suggests there may be a lot more that has yet to be unveiled.
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