Tesla's Full Self-Driving beta may be enabled on European streets as early as September 2024. The new UN Economic Commission for Europe regulation on Driver Control Assistance Systems (DCAS) has been added to the annotated provisional agenda for the upcoming 192nd session of the World Forum for Harmonization of Vehicle Regulations.
BREAKING NEWS The new UNECE regulation DCAS, which could allow Tesla's FSD Beta in Europe, was added to the annotated provisional agenda for the 192nd session of the World Forum for Harmonization of Vehicle Regulations (WP.29). If it gets adopted, the regulation could come into… pic.twitter.com/yK8tLP0nYt
This discussion was initially set for 2025, with the regulatory body deciding the journey towards autonomous driving on the continent. Adding the DCAS regulation to the provisional agenda signals a crucial step in the regulatory process, suggesting a more accelerated timeline than anticipated. The provision comes with a 70-page document that dives into every aspect of autonomous driving.
The Essence of the Proposal and Its Impact
The DCAS regulation aims to establish a standardized framework for advanced driver assistance technologies, specifically targeting systems that provide sustained lateral and longitudinal motion control support. Unlike fully autonomous systems, DCAS requires the driver to remain engaged and responsible for the vehicle, fitting within the SAE level 2 automation category and lining up with Tesla’s FSD warnings. Adopting the DCAS regulation could mean re-enabling certain Autopilot features previously restricted in Europe and introducing the much-anticipated FSD Beta.
The document focuses on preventing misuse and overreliance on DCAS and addresses concerns about drivers overestimating the capabilities of automated systems. For Tesla and its users, the FSD Beta will have clear guidelines and interfaces to keep drivers informed and engaged, preventing potential safety issues from misunderstanding the system's limits.
Tesla’s Technology Will Face a New Standard of Tests
Tesla has an ongoing relationship with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration in the U.S., and now the company will have to adhere to a new rule book. The proposal details the safety measures that DCAS-equipped vehicles must adhere to, including response to system failures and compliance with speed limits. The FSD Beta must meet stringent safety standards for Tesla, ensuring its deployment in Europe will be innovative and aligned with the highest safety protocols.
Highlighting the various testing methods for verifying DCAS reliability and effectiveness provides insight into the rigorous approval process that Tesla's FSD Beta must undergo. This thorough testing and compliance process is reassuring for potential users, indicating that the system will have been extensively evaluated for safety and functionality before it becomes available in Europe.
The journey to this point has not been without its challenges. Regulatory processes, especially those involving new technologies and international standards, are inherently complex and time-consuming. The inclusion of the DCAS regulation in the WP.29 agenda comes after intensive efforts by stakeholders to prioritize and expedite the framework, reflecting the high level of interest and investment in the future of mobility.
The potential early adoption of the DCAS regulation holds promise for a new era of driving in Europe. Tesla's FSD Beta could soon be within reach for European drivers. The meeting takes place in Geneva in early March.
Last week, Mark Ruber, an engineering YouTuber best known for his glitter bombs, released a video where he tested Tesla's Autopilot against various conditions - including the iconic ACME painted wall.
During this test, many people noted that Mark was using Autopilot rather than FSD, even though his video was titled “Can you Fool a Self-Driving Car?”. The Tesla on Autopilot went up against a vehicle equipped with Luminar’s LIDAR rig, running some sort of basic autonomy or safety software.
New Video Tests FSD
Many people were disappointed with Mark’s video and his testing methods, so several creators got to work to actually test out Tesla’s FSD.
Creator Kyle Paul over on X made a much better follow-up video, using both a HW3 Model Y as well as an AI4 Cybertruck. In a relatively unsurprising turn of events, the Cybertruck was successfully able to detect the wall, slowed down, and came to a stop. The Cybertruck was running FSD 13.2.8.
Kyle’s team did a fantastic job building the wall and testing this in a private area using FSD rather than Autopilot. On top of that - they re-tested the results several times and recorded the entire thing in and out. While Mark’s video was more for entertainment, Kyle really set out to prove what would really happen in this unlikely scenario.
Sadly, the HW3 Model Y was unable to detect the wall, and manual intervention was required in each test. While the Model Y was running FSD 12.5.4.2 rather than an FSD V12.6 build, we don’t expect this to have had a significant impact on the test - this is more of an issue with how computer vision analyzes the environment.
There are several major differences between HW3 and HW4. The first is obviously that the version that runs on AI4 is more advanced, as the hardware is capable of processing a lot more data. However, AI4 also features much higher-resolution cameras than HW3, and Tesla recently added the ability for the video feeds to be processed at full resolution on FSD V13. This could have made the difference, although it’s not entirely clear. Perhaps if HW3 gets a version of FSD V13 in the future, HW3 can be retested to see if it passes the “ACME wall” test.
Watch
Kyle’s entire video is below. It’s only 10 minutes long, so definitely give it a watch. Props to Kyle on the quick and thorough execution.
What Does This Mean for FSD?
We broke down Mark’s test - and examined all the little issues that we discovered after doing some in-depth research - you can read our analysis here.
Putting aside the issues with Mark’s testing and instead using the new results - it seems that if you were to have to fight against Wile-E-Coyote and his ACME tools with your Tesla, cartoon logic may win if you’re on an HW3 vehicle. If you’re on an AI4 vehicle, you’ll likely come to a safe stop.
Vehicle depth perception is definitely something that Tesla has been hard at work to improve - and some fairly drastic improvements came with FSD V13 that haven’t been entirely translated to FSD V12 just yet. Future versions of HW3 FSD may be able to determine that the wall is there successfully. So Kyle - if you’re reading this - don’t get rid of that wall. We’d love to see more testing in the future.
However, this entire test scenario is so out of left field… there is a good likelihood this same test would fool some human drivers as well. The most important part is that the future of autonomy will not fall for these tricks, so it's very unlikely for someone to weaponize this idea as it’d only possibly work on a small segment of vehicles.
If Wile-E-Coyote is after you, someone else may drive into the wall before your Tesla does.
Not a Tesla App
We’re not kidding, this really happened already. This isn’t a realistic scenario outside of someone trying to play an insane prank - but it’s good to know that FSD V13 is capable of dodging this.
Tesla regularly holds quarterly all-hands meetings for employees, but last night marks the first time Tesla has live-streamed the event for the public.
The meeting primarily focused on Tesla’s employees, recent achievements, and the future of Tesla. While it didn’t reveal much new information, it was interesting to see Elon Musk candidly engaging with his teams, who seem to genuinely enjoy working with him. Still, there were a few noteworthy takeaways.
As with Tesla’s Earnings Calls and other live events, we’ve put together a concise, easy-to-digest recap of everything discussed.
General Points
Work-related Injuries declined over time
Planning to expand to new markets
Cell Manufacturing
Continuing to invest in battery supply
Cheapest, lowest cost per kWh cell
The supercharger network continues to grow
Vehicle range and charging speed should match the needs of humans and their required time for breaks
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