Hertz Global Holdings, a major player in the vehicle rental industry, recently announced a significant change in its electric vehicle strategy. The company is selling about 20,000 EVs, including a substantial number of Teslas, from its U.S. fleet. This decision, made just two years after their initial partnership with Tesla, signifies a notable pivot in Hertz's approach to electric mobility and has implications for the broader EV market, particularly for Tesla.
The move by Hertz is believed to be a response to a cooling demand in the electric vehicle sector. It's a trend that is not isolated to Hertz but resonates across the industry. Automakers such as General Motors and Ford are revising their EV production plans due to this slowdown in sales growth. However, before the UAW saw the big three give major wage hikes, EVs were ramping up across the automotive sector.
Financial Impact and Market Perception of Tesla
The decision by Hertz to reduce its Tesla fleet has significant financial implications. Firstly, thousands of used Teslas are flooding the market, driving down the resale value. Second, since the announcement, Tesla’s stock has been declining.
The factors influencing Hertz's decision to sell off its Tesla fleet indicate the broader challenges the EV industry faces. The company claims that higher expenses related to collisions and damages for EVs have been a significant concern. This issue has led Hertz to shift its focus away from its initial goal of electrifying a substantial portion of its fleet. How this affects Tesla’s rumored in-house Rental Program is anyone’s guess at this point.
Tesla doesn’t do much advertising, but Hertz certainly does. The Hertz advertising campaign featured 7-time Super Bowl Champion Tom Brady behind the wheel of a Model 3. When the G.O.A.T endorses a brand, millions listen. However, this was not utilized as part of what could’ve been a parallel marketing campaign by Tesla.
Brady was even quoted as saying: “I've been driving an EV for years, and knowing Hertz is leading the way with their electric fleet speaks to how the world is changing and the way companies are approaching being environmentally and socially conscious.”
Tom Brady in a Model 3
Not a Tesla App
The Future of Tesla in the EV Landscape
The recent move by Hertz to sell a large portion of its electric fleet, particularly Teslas, signals a complex period for the EV market. It raises questions about Hertz’ transition to electric and the role of companies like Tesla in shaping its future. Tesla is the sector's pioneer and has been at the forefront of the EV industry, pushing boundaries with its innovative technology and design. However, as some manufacturers mysteriously shift away from electric (right after the big three settled labor strife), Tesla will continue to navigate these changes while maintaining its leadership position.
One of the significant challenges for Tesla in this evolving market is balancing innovation with operational and financial sustainability. The company needs to address the concerns highlighted by Hertz's decision, such as the higher costs associated with EV maintenance and repairs. Additionally, Tesla must continue to innovate in areas like battery technology, charging infrastructure, and autonomous driving to stay ahead of the competition.
Tesla's Role in a Changing EV Ecosystem
The perceived cooling demand for EVs also allows Tesla to reassess its market strategy. This could involve exploring new segments, enhancing customer engagement, and further improving the affordability and accessibility of its vehicles. Tesla's response to these market dynamics will be crucial in defining its future trajectory in the EV industry.
Tesla's influence extends beyond just manufacturing electric vehicles; it plays a significant role in shaping the EV ecosystem. For instance, the company's advancements in battery technology have implications for energy storage and renewable energy integration. Tesla's impact on the automotive industry has also single-handedly pushed other manufacturers to accelerate their transition to electric mobility.
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It was a rainy April 1st when a news-searching author went on a delve into the depths of April Fools to find fact from falsehood. And while we found a lot of fantastic jokes, we also found some good ideas.
So, with a shoutout to MarcoRP on X, whose April Fool’s Joke gave us a good run for our money for a couple of minutes, we thought to ourselves - what would a Cybercab Charging Station / Cleaning Hub really look like?
Cybercab Wireless Charging Sites
Now, before continuing, we’d like to point out that the image up top is a joke from Marco - it isn’t an accurate or real site map submission from Tesla. However, it gave us the impetus to think critically about what is required for a Robotaxi fleet, based primarily on the Cybercab, to be able to service a city.
Requirements
Tesla will likely need to charge a small fleet of Cybercabs at a single time and in a single place. That means that the site needs to be large enough to cover a major metro area while also still being compact enough to not cost too much money to build out.
In addition, we need to factor in charge times. The Cybercab is likely to launch with a battery around 50 kWh, which will result in a range of approximately 300 miles. With that much range, the average Cybercab may not need to charge more than once or at all during daytime shifts, so instead, most of the vehicles will charge overnight.
MarcoRP
Math and Charge Times
The overnight charging means that most of these vehicles could be charged slowly. When we did some back-of-the-napkin math last year, we determined that Tesla’s wireless charger will likely peak around 17 kW (for comparison, Tesla’s Wall Connector at 32 amps charges at about 7 kW). If we scale Tesla’s wireless charger down slightly to 10 kW, accounting for some energy loss and the potential size of the site, that means a Cybercab will be able to charge in about 5 hours.
Tesla’s upcoming V4 Supercharger unit can currently handle 1.5MW per cabinet, but this slower-speed charging is A/C, not DC, which means there is a step-down loss of about 3-5%. Let’s make that a comfortable 10% for any other overages, but we can estimate around 1.35MW of power. That 1.3MW will easily handle charging up to 100 Cybercabs at once - all wirelessly, using Tesla’s unique beam-forming and beam-steering technology to keep efficiency high at every single stall.
Within about 5 hours, a whole fleet of 100 Cybercabs could be charged overnight when electricity rates are cheaper and still be out in time for the morning commute.
While this is all just hypothetical, it really does make sense that Tesla will be establishing these sites that won’t require much space or a ton of energy.
Tesla recently curtained off a large section of the parking garage at Giga Texas, as well as some of their chargers on the eastern end of the facility, leading us to believe they may just be testing this at scale internally.
There’s a lot to look forward to with Tesla’s V4 Supercharger deployment coming this year and with Robotaxi launching in just a couple of months.
Tesla released its Q1 2025 delivery and production numbers this morning, reporting 336,681 vehicles delivered and 362,615 produced—marking the company’s weakest quarter since 2022. Deliveries declined 13% year-over-year and fell well short of Wall Street estimates, which ranged from 360,000 to 370,000. Some analysts had forecast as many as 407,000 units.
Despite the shortfall, Tesla stock is actually up about 4% this morning, not only suggesting the market had already priced in weaker performance, but that this may be seen as the low point for the company. Tesla began delivering its refreshed Model Y in March, and production across all four Gigafactories was impacted by several weeks of downtime as Tesla retooled lines to accommodate the newer model. However, there’s no doubt that there is some brand impact from Elon Musk.
Comparing Numbers
Most of the deliveries—323,800 units—came from the Model 3 and Model Y lineup, while the “Other Models” category (including the Cybertruck, Model S, and Model X) accounted for 12,881 deliveries. That’s a 31% drop for Model 3/Y and a sharper 45% drop for the Other Models category compared to the previous quarter. However, comparing it to a more applicable Q1 2024, these numbers are only down about 13% for the Model 3/Y and down about 24% for the Model S/X and Cybertruck.
In terms of production, Tesla built 345,454 Model 3/Y vehicles and 17,161 from its “Other Models” line. The company attributed the production drop to the Model Y changeover but said the ramp is “going well.” This still leaves a large gap between production and delivery numbers, although they may not be as large as many had feared.
Q1 2025
Q1 2024
Q4 2024
Model 3/Y Deliveries
323,800
369,783
471,930
Model 3/Y Production
345,454
412,376
436,718
Other Models Deliveries
12,881
17,027
23,640
Other Models Production
17,161
20,995
22,727
Total Deliveries
336,681
386,810
495,570
Total Production
362,615
433,371
459,445
Cybertruck
One major weak point in Tesla’s numbers seems to be Cybertruck deliveries. While Tesla previously expected the Cybertruck to sell more than 250k units per year, we’re already seeing a decline in numbers. This is likely due to several factors, including the higher-than-expected price point of the truck, the unavailability of the RWD model, and the Cybertruck’s polarizing design, which may attract unwanted attention right now.
While the Cybertruck was ramping up production in 2024, making the lower numbers reasonable, the deliveries for Q1 2025 dropped drastically compared to the previous quarter. Cybertruck deliveries are estimated to be in the 5- 6k unit range for the quarter.
The good news to take away here is that the Single Motor variant of the Cybertruck appears to be nearing release. The price of the RWD version is expected to be about $60k USD before any incentives.
Q1 Earnings Call
Tesla announced their quarterly numbers this morning and posted on social media that they’ll live stream their Earnings Call on April 22nd.
This post was later edited to change “Q1 Earnings Call” to “Q1 Company Update.” It’s not clear whether there’s any significance in this change, but it could mean that Tesla has more to announce during the call.
The Company Update will occur on April 22nd at 2:30 PM PT / 5:30 PM ET. The standard Q&A session with executives and Musk is expected to follow the release of additional financial results for the quarter.
Tesla is set to launch its long-awaited Robotaxi service in June, and a cheaper, mass-market model is also planned for this year. With delivery numbers coming in soft and the refreshed Model Y just hitting the road, all eyes will be on forward-looking commentary during the update.
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