Tesla's Model 3 is expected to lose half of its tax incentive
Tesla
Tesla has sounded the alarm bells once again regarding the potential reduction in the federal tax credit. As the year-end approaches, potential buyers may want to make a decision and possibly save some money, as there may be a significant impact on the final price tag of their electric car.
All new Model 3 vehicles currently qualify for a federal tax credit for eligible buyers. $7,500 tax credit expected to reduce to $3,750 on Dec 31, pending federal guidance. Take delivery to guarantee full incentive.
Changes to the Tax Credit
The 2024 tax credit's eligibility criteria will tighten. Specifically, the requirement for critical minerals used in batteries, such as those extracted or recycled within the U.S. (or nations with a U.S. free trade agreement), will increase from 40% to 50%. Furthermore, the mandate for battery components will also intensify, with 60% of these components needing domestic manufacturing or production within free trade agreement nations. Vehicles that don't meet these more stringent guidelines will only access half the credit, $3,750 USD.
A Flashback to July's Warning
We've heard the warning before. In July, Tesla made a somewhat ambiguous warning about the impending decrease of the coveted $7,500 tax credit on some of its vehicle models. Back then, while all Model Ys were eligible for the full credit, the base version of the Model 3 faced a restriction due to its use of Chinese battery cells. This particular battery choice made it eligible for just half the credit. The higher-end models, Model S and Model X, didn't qualify because of their premium pricing. In an exciting twist, Tesla announced that even the base Model 3 would be eligible for the full tax credit.
The Highland is Coming
Fast forward to the present, Tesla is again cautioning its consumers. It is worth noting that Tesla plans to roll out the new Model 3 Highland to North America in 2024. While it hasn't reached the U.S. shores yet, this development could be strategic. Clearing out stocks of the older design Model 3s before the Highland's U.S. debut could be why Tesla urges consumers to capitalize on the current tax incentives by taking delivery soon.
Also, Tesla missed its third-quarter projections. There are plenty of valid reasons behind having fewer deliveries. However, the point remains that the numbers were down. If we have learned anything about Elon Musk over the years, he likes to show constant improvement. We saw this late last year when Tesla rolled out some significant price decreases as the end of the year approached.
As we venture into 2024, some pivotal shifts are expected in the electric vehicle federal tax credit framework. The most notable change is the point of access - it will transition from a tax rebate to an immediate discount at the dealership.
Tesla reiterates concerns about the potential tax credit reduction, and prospective buyers must be proactive. The clock is ticking, and decisions made in the next few months could save some cash or be a moot point.
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Rendering of what Tesla's license plate feature could look like
Not a Tesla App
Tesla update 2024.38 has started rolling out to several regions and vehicles. Thanks to Tesla hacker Greentheonly, we have a behind-the-scenes look at some new features coming to Teslas.
License Plate Display
According to Greentheonly, it looks like Tesla may soon let you display your actual license plate in the vehicle’s visualization on the screen. In our article, The Most Request Tesla Features, several readers suggested displaying the vehicle’s license plate in the visualization instead of a blank, white plate.
It looks like Tesla will be doing just that, at least in China. Green found references that appear to conclude that you’ll be able to display your vehicle’s plate on screen. This will likely be user input, so you could have it say anything you’d like, and it doesn’t have to be your actual license plate.
For many owners, who may find it difficult to remember their license plate, this could serve a practical purpose in addition to adding to the visualization's realism.
While Green was only able to say it’ll be available in China, we expect this is due to China’s software development team working on it and that it’ll eventually be released worldwide.
While code for this feature was found in update 2024.38, we may not be turned on in China yet. We suspect this feature may be a strong candidate for Tesla’s upcoming holiday update.
FSD Hardware Version Display
As part of the 2024.38 update, Tesla has now made it easy to determine whether your vehicle includes Hardware 3 or Hardware 4. You can now simply navigate to Controls > Software and tap Additional Vehicle Information. In addition to other hardware information about your vehicle, your Autopilot hardware version will now be listed as well.
You can see whether your vehicle has HW2.5, HW3, or AI4. This in-car display is useful, but if you don’t have access to the vehicle, you can always use our guide on how to determine the hardware version of a Tesla.
New Battery Health Test & Service Mode Improvements
Green found some additional things as well. There’s a new and improved Battery Health Test. The new test will show you how your car scores compared to similar vehicles in the Tesla fleet.
In addition, maintenance records can now be permanently stored “in the car.” It doesn’t appear that this feature is activated yet, but it’s likely in active development with some parts leaking out in the 2024.38 update.
Tesla has included various Service Mode improvements and new visualizations in this update.
Mr Li on X came across some covered-up Project Juniper vehicles recently and he managed to get various shots of the vehicle.
Juniper Images
This front image reveals what looks like two rows of lights, possibly confirming the front light bar for the Model Y refresh — similar to the one on the Cybercab.
The rear side has a lot of lights on it!
Mr Li on X
The rear side shows a ton of brake lights, but it’s not clear why. While it looks like the Model Y refresh will also feature a rear light bar similar to the Cybertruck, there isn’t strong evidence of that in this photo.
Mr Li on X
There's an obvious set of lights at the bottom, so it looks like the Model Y refresh will be similar to the new Model 3 where the bottom lights can operate as brake lights when the one-piece tail lights and trunk are up.
Mr Li on X
In the last photo, we see that the overall form factor of the refreshed Model Y will remain unchanged, and Tesla is focusing the changes on the front and rear ends of the vehicle, much like the Model 3 refresh. However, in this one shot, we can also see what appears to be red light leaking out of the rear camera cover opening, possibly due to the rear light bar.
The Model Y is not only Tesla’s best-selling vehicle but also the world’s best-selling car in 2023. This year, it’s expected to be the best-selling vehicle in the United States and again in the world, so this refresh will be huge for Tesla.
@DominicBRNKMN made another fantastic set of concepts based on these new images. Given he had the most accurate Model 3 Highland concept before the official launch, we’re pretty sure his latest work be close here as well.
@DominicBRNKMN
We’re super excited to see the eventual reveal of Project Juniper, which is expected in the first half of 2025. However, expect to see a few more leaks before production kicks off at Giga Shanghai.
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