With an attentive driver, Tesla's Autopilot is 10x safer than the average vehicle
Nigel McGill/YouTube
Tesla released new Autopilot data just one day after the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) had an impromptu chat with reporters. The acting head, Ann Carlson, said her agency was devoting significant resources to the ongoing extensive investigation of crashes involving Tesla on Autopilot. Carlson said she wanted to ensure the agency had all of the information. Tesla just gave it to her.
Tesla's Data Proves a Point
“We are proud of Autopilot’s performance and its impact on reducing traffic collisions,” the company states with a January 2023 Vehicle Safety Report update. The numbers are staggering. In the 3rd quarter, one crash was recorded for every 6.26 million miles driven using Autopilot. Teslas not using Autopilot technology logged one crash for every 1.71 million miles driven.
For comparison, the NHTSA estimated one automobile crash every 652,000 miles. That equates to Tesla drivers without Autopilot engaged being 2.5 times safer and with Autopilot being used ten times safer than the national average.
Why Did Tesla Stop Reporting?
The company states, “the benefit and promise of Autopilot is clear from the Vehicle Safety Report data that we have been sharing for 4 years.” Tesla stopped publishing the numbers in 2021. It explained that data collection needed improvement, “Specifically, we discovered reports of certain events where no airbag or other active restraint deployed, single events that were counted more than once, and reports of invalid or duplicated mileage records.”
Incredible Improvement Year-Over-Year
Tesla issued all of the information from the quarters that were missing. There’s a significant improvement in year-over-year data. In the third quarter of 2021, Tesla recorded one crash per 5.54 million miles with Autopilot; that number has increased to 6.26 million. While Tesla drivers without Autopilot were involved in a crash once every 1.58 million, that is now 1.71.
Tesla's commitment to developing the safest cars in the world was recently put in the spotlight when four people were unharmed after a horrifying 250-foot drop off a cliff in California. The Model Y protected the two adults and two children inside, and firefighters called it a miracle.
The company continually receives accolades for safety. When it’s already producing the safest cars in the world, Tesla can only compete with itself. As we know from watching Tesla’s A.I. Day, a team of engineers is working with the most bleeding-edge technology to continue to improve the product. For that, we thank them.
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Rendering of what Tesla's license plate feature could look like
Not a Tesla App
Tesla update 2024.38 has started rolling out to several regions and vehicles. Thanks to Tesla hacker Greentheonly, we have a behind-the-scenes look at some new features coming to Teslas.
License Plate Display
According to Greentheonly, it looks like Tesla may soon let you display your actual license plate in the vehicle’s visualization on the screen. In our article, The Most Request Tesla Features, several readers suggested displaying the vehicle’s license plate in the visualization instead of a blank, white plate.
It looks like Tesla will be doing just that, at least in China. Green found references that appear to conclude that you’ll be able to display your vehicle’s plate on screen. This will likely be user input, so you could have it say anything you’d like, and it doesn’t have to be your actual license plate.
For many owners, who may find it difficult to remember their license plate, this could serve a practical purpose in addition to adding to the visualization's realism.
While Green was only able to say it’ll be available in China, we expect this is due to China’s software development team working on it and that it’ll eventually be released worldwide.
While code for this feature was found in update 2024.38, we may not be turned on in China yet. We suspect this feature may be a strong candidate for Tesla’s upcoming holiday update.
FSD Hardware Version Display
As part of the 2024.38 update, Tesla has now made it easy to determine whether your vehicle includes Hardware 3 or Hardware 4. You can now simply navigate to Controls > Software and tap Additional Vehicle Information. In addition to other hardware information about your vehicle, your Autopilot hardware version will now be listed as well.
You can see whether your vehicle has HW2.5, HW3, or AI4. This in-car display is useful, but if you don’t have access to the vehicle, you can always use our guide on how to determine the hardware version of a Tesla.
New Battery Health Test & Service Mode Improvements
Green found some additional things as well. There’s a new and improved Battery Health Test. The new test will show you how your car scores compared to similar vehicles in the Tesla fleet.
In addition, maintenance records can now be permanently stored “in the car.” It doesn’t appear that this feature is activated yet, but it’s likely in active development with some parts leaking out in the 2024.38 update.
Tesla has included various Service Mode improvements and new visualizations in this update.
Mr Li on X came across some covered-up Project Juniper vehicles recently and he managed to get various shots of the vehicle.
Juniper Images
This front image reveals what looks like two rows of lights, possibly confirming the front light bar for the Model Y refresh — similar to the one on the Cybercab.
The rear side has a lot of lights on it!
Mr Li on X
The rear side shows a ton of brake lights, but it’s not clear why. While it looks like the Model Y refresh will also feature a rear light bar similar to the Cybertruck, there isn’t strong evidence of that in this photo.
Mr Li on X
There's an obvious set of lights at the bottom, so it looks like the Model Y refresh will be similar to the new Model 3 where the bottom lights can operate as brake lights when the one-piece tail lights and trunk are up.
Mr Li on X
In the last photo, we see that the overall form factor of the refreshed Model Y will remain unchanged, and Tesla is focusing the changes on the front and rear ends of the vehicle, much like the Model 3 refresh. However, in this one shot, we can also see what appears to be red light leaking out of the rear camera cover opening, possibly due to the rear light bar.
The Model Y is not only Tesla’s best-selling vehicle but also the world’s best-selling car in 2023. This year, it’s expected to be the best-selling vehicle in the United States and again in the world, so this refresh will be huge for Tesla.
@DominicBRNKMN made another fantastic set of concepts based on these new images. Given he had the most accurate Model 3 Highland concept before the official launch, we’re pretty sure his latest work be close here as well.
@DominicBRNKMN
We’re super excited to see the eventual reveal of Project Juniper, which is expected in the first half of 2025. However, expect to see a few more leaks before production kicks off at Giga Shanghai.
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